Skip navigation
    News Releases Signup for News Alerts Media Contacts Executive Bios Corporate Fact Sheet BMO Expert Insights
    Navigation skipped

    News Releases

    BMO Economics: U.S. Job Numbers in October Knock Out Expectations

    CHICAGO, IL--(Marketwired - Nov 8, 2013) - The latest U.S. employment numbers indicate some underlying strength in the economy, according to BMO Economics, with non-farm payrolls rising 204,000 in October. Any material impact from the U.S. government shutdown was sparse, as businesses boosted hiring and far surpassed the consensus estimate of 120,000.

    "This is a noteworthy increase, particularly given that a number of private sector companies were laying off workers during the month as a result of the government shutdown," said Michael Gregory, Deputy Chief Economist and Head of U.S. Economics, BMO Capital Markets.

    Gains were seen across the board, with the private sector hiring 212,000 more workers. All industries except who lesale trade and government increased their workforce. The public sector experienced a slight loss of 8,000 workers.

    "The household survey was skewed by the high number of furloughed government employees, leading to a 735,000 fall in measured employment. For the most part, we can expect the decline to be reversed next month," said Mr. Gregory. "The unemployment rate rose to 7.3 percent and the employment rate dropped slightly to 58.3 percent, but that too was a product of the shutdown and should reverse course in November."

    The index measuring weekly work hours rose 0.2 percent month over month, which puts it at 1.0 percent annualized above the third quarter average. BMO Economics is currently forecasting Q4 GDP growth of 1.6 percent, which factors in some productivity gains.

    "The government furlough could knock half a percentage point off growth in the fourth quarter, but the subsequent rebound should mean a rise of three percent in the first quarter of 2014," added Mr. Gregory.

    For further information:

    Media Contact:
    Alexis Brown
    Chicago
    Alexis.Brown@bmo.com
    (312) 461-6543

    Disclosure

    App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Apple and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries. 

    Android, Google Play, and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google Inc. 

    Banking products and services are subject to bank and credit approval and are provided in the United States by BMO Bank N.A. Member FDIC.

    equal housing lender NMLS 401052

    Notice to Customers  

    To help the government fight the funding of terrorism and money laundering activities, federal law (USA Patriot Act (Title III of Pub. L. 107 56 signed into law October 26, 2001) requires all financial organizations to obtain, verify and record information that identifies each person who opens an account. When you open an account, we will ask for your name, address, date of birth and other information that will allow us to identify you. We may also ask you to provide a copy of your driver's license or other identifying documents. For each business or entity that opens an account, we will ask for your name, address and other information that will allow us to identify the entity. We may also ask you to provide a copy of your certificate of incorporation (or similar document) or other identifying documents. The information you provide in this form may be used to perform a credit check and verify your identity by using internal sources and third party vendors. If the requested information is not provided within 30 calendar days, the account will be subject to closure.  

    Third party web sites may have privacy and security policies different from BMO. Links to other web sites do not imply the endorsement or approval of such web sites.  

    Please review the privacy and security policies of web sites reached through links from BMO web sites. This information is not intended to be tax or legal advice. This information cannot be used by any taxpayer for the purpose of avoiding tax penalties that may be imposed on the taxpayer. This information is being used to support the promotion or marketing of the planning strategies discussed herein. BMO Bank N.A. and its affiliates do not provide legal or tax advice to clients. You should review your particular circumstances with your independent legal and tax advisors.